There are issues which can only speak from the analysis because there is no definitive information about it. Continuity or Zapatero at the head of the PSOE in the general vicinity is one of these issues. So I can venture finally pass a matter of smell, intuition, as much it is to read carefully what is going on, analyze it from common sense and experience and deduction. I think that Zapatero will not be submitted. A few days ago Felipe Gonzalez said that, as time passes, the current president of the government is going exhausting the possibilities of no show. Insurance Gonzalez has more than me and, of course, more evidence but I think just the opposite. The "no candidate will be" can decide to Zapatero in a completely unilateral, at any time, since it only depends on it. In contrast, the "yes I will be candidate" is a decision that involves the whole party and goes beyond what he wants, at least formally, at least if the PSOE party is more democratic than the PP of "handpick" and cheers seamless. Yes open the debate on it and especially after the expected bump regional and municipal delas, 2011 discussion can be bitter. Much more than if the name under discussion today is the vice Rubalcaba. Zapatero's image is more than burnt and polls show that Rubalcaba says forcefully best election results. Everything points to it. It is true that at the obvious trigger suspicions and doubts but we should also remember that that: if you quack like a duck, walks like a duck and duck beak ... is that it is a duck! A loss to the current number two at the head of government always be less than with Zapatero and is not the same losing most to lose. Is not equal to begin the journey of the opposition below 10 points above it 15. Should not be disregarded either that a better result, even a defeat, means more deputies, both leaders to be less unemployment, more advisers, more jobs insticionales, and all this is not a minor issue. The PSOE many political professionals who know that Zapatero them away from the offices, salaries and allowances that have for many years enjoying and, instead, he approaches the INEM, and that does not. And the future is: Rubalcaba has 60 years, after the expected defeat of 2012, hardly compete in the final succession process. So the Spaniard is not dangerous for those who aspire to lead the future ... That in the event that the PSOE has a future and be able to find him.
Anyway, beyond the nominal question, I find it significant that, tucked into this debate, never appear as check raising voices socialist left-wing policies do not fall into problems like those now on the table or at least to make it less cruel to the strata of the population. This is actually expected by the voter and the only way out of this downward spiral to see how the poorest rely on right-wing parties to resolve a crisis caused by financial deregulation and lack of control over speculation property. What
Rubalcaba brings about Zapatero is a picture of a good manager, a leader reliable, which makes it very bad place to the current occupant of the Moncloa. Rubalcaba is more of the same but better, and I think that's enough. If your credibility is not sufficient to target future new recipes and try to make the public believe in them is that they do not. I fear that this vacuum of ideas, this solar ideological, is where the PP can build his victory in May 2011 when 2012.
